XFF Super Bowl I breakdown

Ladies and gentlemen and anything in between, we have reached the pinnacle of the fantasy football season, the Super Bowl. The two best teams from each conference in the regular season, the Panthers owned by Nils and the Jets owned by Jesse are squaring off in the league’s first ever championship.

Without further ado, here is the breakdown of the first ever XFF Super Bowl matchup:

Coach:

Carolina: Doug Marrone @Oakland

New York: Bill Belichick @New York Jets

The Edge?: Both coaches are playing two of the worst teams in the league, but I would have to give the edge to Belichick for two reasons. The Bills are going out West and that could hinder an inconsistent team. Of the two, I think the talent gap between the Jets and Patriots are greater than the Bills and Raiders. It is close, but I would rather have the best coach in the NFL.

QB:

Carolina: Tom Brady @New York Jets

New York: Matt Ryan @Saints

The Edge?: Matt Ryan should have no problem hitting 300 yards in a plus matchup against a terrible Saints secondary. That’s not to say however that New England will not be passing either. The Jets run defense ranks in the top 10 in the league, which should cause New England to rely on the pass. I like both, but Ryan has more upside.

RB/WR/TE:

Carolina: CJ Anderson @Bengals, Mark Ingram vs. Falcons, Arian Foster vs. Ravens, Antonio Brown vs. Chiefs, Demaryius Thomas @Bengals

New York Jets: Matt Forte vs. Lions, Frank Gore vs. Chargers, DeMarco Murray vs. Colts, Eric Decker vs. Patriots, Calvin Johnson @Bears

The Edge?: Anderson is an elite option with his amount of touches. The Bengals don’t have as good of a run defense as people think with all their injuries. Ingram is playing a terrible run defense and still is the top dog in the Saints’ backfield. Foster has some question marks against the Ravens, but should get his touches. Brown has superstar matchup all over him, but Thomas plays a tough Bengals secondary, but it’s not like Nils can’t start him. Jesse has Forte, who plays a tough Lions’ run D, but is the most talented offensive weapon the Bears have. Gore is expected to play on Saturday, but has been unproductive in the second half of the season. Murray also is expected to play, but might lose touches to Randle as the Cowboys try to lighten the load on the oft-injured star. Decker had one of his best games of the season last week eclipsing 100 yards, but Jesse shouldn’t expect the same unless Chad Pennington comes out of retirement. (ok maybe not the best option) Calvin Johnson has to have a big game against the Bears, and I think that is exactly what he will provide. The Lions will be feeding their superstar and eyeing a division title. It’s clear that the Panthers have the more upside on offense.

PK/PN:

Panthers: Justin Tucker @Texans, Jon Ryan @Cardinals

New York Jets: Caleb Sturgis vs. Vikings, Michael Koenen vs. Packers

The Edge?: Tucker and Sturgis are coin tosses on who will do better. Ryan and Koenen are as well. This matchup is a push.

DT:

Panthers: Sen’Derrick Marks vs. Titans – 16.80

New York Jets: Bennie Logan @Redskins

The Edge?: The Panthers most likely win this matchup after a big game from Marks. He got the coveted sack that the DT position strives for production. Logan has eclipsed ten points the last two weeks, and if he does it again Jesse should be fine.

DE:

Panthers: Cameron Heyward vs. Chiefs, Willie Young vs. Lions

New York Jets: Calais Campbell vs. Seahawks, Jason Pierre-Paul @Rams

The Edge?: I love the Jets’ DEs. They are both top five options this week and Jesse should be hoping for huge weeks from both of them. Granted, that rarely happens, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see both of them go crazy. Young and Heyward are both solid starters, but lack the upside of the Jets’ DEs.

LB:

Panthers: Sam Barrington @Buccaneers, CJ Mosely @Texans, Tahir Whitehead @Bears, KJ Wright @Cardinals

New York Jets: Brian Cushing vs. Ravens, Chad Greenway @Dolphins, Mychal Kendricks @Redskins, Daryl Smith @Texans

The Edge?: Nils has Mosely, who is a top five option at the LB position, but there is significant drop-off after him. Wright, Whitehead and Barrington must step-up for Nils this week. The Jets win this matchup because of their depth. As Kendricks, Smith and Greenway are all top 30 options this week.

CB:

Panthers: Trumaine Johnson vs. Giants, Jason McCourty @Jaguars – 6.50

New York Jets: Beshaud Breeland vs. Eagles, Robert McClain @Saints

The Edge?: It’s close, but because McCourty only gave the Panthers 6.5 points, the edge goes to the Jets because Breeland and McClain both have big time potential to get an interception against two pass happy teams.

S:

Panthers: Dawan Landry vs. Patriots, Harrison Smith @Dolphins

New York Jets: Glover Quin @Bears, Donte Whitner @Panthers

The Edge?: It’s extremely close, but I once again go with the Jets as their depth of Quin and Whitner have more potential than Landry and Smith. Smith is the best player here, but the Jets have the better unit.

Off:

Panthers: Philadelphia Eagles @Redskins

New York Jets: Indianapolis Colts @Cowboys

The Edge?: These are both high octane offenses playing below average defenses. It’s a push.

Conclusion:

As I look closely at this matchup, the Panthers have the edge on offense and the Jets have the better defense. This could be really close. But what wins championships? In fantasy, the offense of course! The Panthers win this matchup on the back of their offense and take home the XFF trophy.

Panthers 334 Jets 315

 

Leave a Reply